The 15w50 is an example. There are 10w30 which currently exist that have a HTHS of a 5w40. 15w40 that have and HTHS of a 20w50. These are high VI high density lubricants.
How do you know what is possible if it doesn’t exist yet? Could an engineer from 1950 predict what they can formulate now?
You will run into the KV limits for the grade first. Remember, the ceiling for an xW-20 is 9.3cSt, for a 50, it's 21.9cSt.
If you take a base oil that's an xW-20, so we'll use SpectraSyn 8cSt PAO, it has an HTHS of 2.58cP. There's no VII to shear there, that's the HTHS of a pure PAO base oil, which, unsurprisingly, happens to be the same as the HTHS lower limit for the xW-20 designation.
The PDS for some of the heavier PAO bases like SpectraSyn 10 doesn't have the HTHS listed, but, if we look at the xW-20 with the highest HTHS in
@High Performance Lubricants no VII series engines oils, this is the Euro 5W-20, with an HTHS of 3.267cP and a KV100 of 8.7cSt. This is a significantly higher HTHS than all the other mono xW-20's, including those with a higher KV100, including the Euro 10W-20, which is 9.09cSt (so right at the upper edge of the xW-20 grade), with an HTHS of 2.795cP.
So, if Dave were to take the same blending approach (which I assume is using mPAO to get that HTHS) but try to get the KV100 right at the upper limit of the xW-20 grade, so 9.29cSt, I suspect you might be able to get to an HTHS of ~3.4cP, which is just below the lower limit for 0W-40/5W-40/10W-40. The lower limit for an XW-50 is 3.7cP and they are typically significantly higher than that. HPL 5W-50 has an HTHS of 5.005cP for example.
So, there ARE limitations here.