So what's a reasonable plan for adjustment downward that constitutes a time to buy, and in what time frame from where we are today? Again, it's easy to say, buy when the market is lower, it's a lot harder to say, this is when to buy (either today or at that moment in time) and beat index performance in the long run.
If 1. we don't need to know the floor and 2. it sounds to me like we don't need to talk about upside between then and now because we're at historic highs, we must be able to put our arms around some type of range today that will constitute when it's good to buy.
Originally Posted By: supton
Doesn't have to bottom out--if you buy near the bottom, you're still better off than if you had bought at the top. Even if it drops a bit more, who cares? It'll be back up in a few years, and hopefully well past what you bought in at. No need to wait until it's bottomed out, or going back up.
I wholeheartedly agree with the portion above in bold, hence the appeal to index - set it and forget it, as I've been asking about for a few pages. I don't need to worry that I'm at the bottom (or today's top IMO, after all we had to break the last all time high to get here). I'd add dollar cost averaging rather than looking for the next drop though.