What would I choose? Well, some explanation first . . .
Here's an issue I really haven't seen anyone address in this thread. For most taxpayers, the mortgage interest deduction becomes useless over time for two reasons: (1) they pay more and more principal and less and less interest over time, and the deduction is for interest only; and (2) the deduction is only for that amount above the standard deduction, which is roughly $10,000 for a married couple. (Don't have the exact figure handy as I key this, but that's in the ballpark.)
Some time down the road, you will have less interest than your standard deduction, so the deduction will become useless. Ten grand in interest a year is a lot, and we aren't even accounting for increases in the standard deduction with inflation. The standard deduction increases a little every year.
For many lower-income Americans, the deduction is useless for precisely these reasons. According to the US government's own figures, hardly any families earning under $50,000 a year can make use of it. As an example, my mother and stepfather have a manufactured house ("double-wide trailer") on rural land, and though they are retired with a limited income, their total house payments are perhaps $4,000 per year. The interest portion is far less than that, of course, and comes nowhere near the ~$10K standard deduction.
The deduction benefits mostly wealthy Americans buying expensive homes, not your average homeowner--at least not for long. You might get a deduction for the first few years of buying your typical $150,000 house, but eventually you'll be unable to use the deduction--but still have the payments.
Personally, for these reasons, I don't see why we can't scrap the deduction as other countries such as Canada and Australia have--if they had it in the first place. The overly favorable tax treatment in the US for mortage interest (for those who qualify) and for capital gains on home sales since 1997 have led to mass speculation in the housing market, driving the costs of housing out of the reach of many, especially younger couples whose parents were able to buy a house at the same age. The government released a little-noticed report in 1994 that referred to an "overconsumption of housing" in the US, and this was before the 1997 tax changes referred to.
Housing should be a place to live, not a speculative investment. And I see a bubble forming that will burst one day.
After all that explanation, my advice is to pay off the house now. You can use what would have been your mortgage payment to invest or build a nest egg for emergencies.
[ June 04, 2004, 10:34 AM: Message edited by: ekrampitzjr ]