If you pay well people stay. They don’t.
Ships except military likely will get built abroad.
Ships except military likely will get built abroad.
Areas near a shipyard are usually waterfront property, so YES! The issue is some yuppies already took the best spots so there's a HCOL.
There's an old mill town here about 40 minutes inland from the shipyard that seems to have half its residents employed there. Plenty of ride-share commuting vans support this bedroom community.
Here is the rub. I listened to the NNS president speak a month or so ago, he says their skilled labor retention problem stems from inflation. NNS bids these contracts 5 years out but they didn't anticipate 10% inflation, so their labor pay rates can't keep up. Their employees are jumping ship (no pun) to their competitors, often back in the same yard next week as a subcontractor.If you pay well people stay. They don’t.
Ships except military likely will get built abroad.
In my area, the health cares system is on its head trying to keep nurses. The last 4-5 times I have either been to hospital or to clinics for tests and start talking to the nurses I found a disturbing trend. Not even one of them was a permanent employee or lived local. They all bragged to me (young/old/black/white/etc...) that they were "contract" nurses. All getting paid near $100 an hour to go from one 6 to 8 week temp job contract flying from one place to another. They actually prefer this and all told the reason is that most places can not keep enough nurses on staff. A couple even told me that they know Doctors who have started doing it too. Of course Doctors starting out , I assume did this anyway as part of early training.Here is the rub. I listened to the NNS president speak a month or so ago, he says their skilled labor retention problem stems from inflation. NNS bids these contracts 5 years out but they didn't anticipate 10% inflation, so their labor pay rates can't keep up. Their employees are jumping ship (no pun) to their competitors, often back in the same yard next week as a subcontractor.
As to nuclear work. It is not true that NNS is the only yard that is allowed to do it.
Read for yourself here.
Nuclear Work
You missed a critical part of what I stated about NNS in my original post. No other shipyard is capable of building a new nuclear powered Ford class aircraft carrier for the U.S. Navy or performing a refueling/complex overhaul (RCOH) of a Nimitz class or Ford class carrier.Huntington Ingalls Industries' Newport News Shipbuilding location is the largest private shipyard in the country. NNS is the only U.S. shipyard capable of building, refueling and decommissioning nuclear aircraft carriers and submarines for the U.S. Navy. The workforce includes hundreds of welders and the shipyard operates a Welding School around the clock since attrition is an ongoing battle. Welding is not a profession for the weak, timid or those who lack motivation and perseverance. The salary chart below comes from Talent.com and is current.
There certainly will be many of jobs lost to AI. There is one thing folks forget about with that sort of thing. All of these AI operated work places will need crews of temporary -(may be years) of construction workers to build and put all of these feared AI manufacturing facilities in place. Once up and operational, there will still be need for trained operations personnel as well as a highly trained mechanical and electrical work force to keep these places up and running. So , maybe not the higher numbers of lower skilled operations jobs , but different types of trained workers will be needed always. Just another transition in the work force that happens all the time. Of course it is scary to think about as it is just another unknown... I would have a level of fear of the future myself if I was still young and in that type of workplace.I was talking to my nurse wife yesterday and we came to the conclusion that the only job that's not going to be done by AI in the future will be cleaning patients'.
Welding can and will be automated, and ships will be designed to accommodate it. Whether they will float or not that's a different question.
Fair enough.You missed a critical part of what I stated about NNS in my original post. No other shipyard is capable of building a new nuclear powered Ford class aircraft carrier for the U.S. Navy or performing a refueling/complex overhaul (RCOH) of a Nimitz class or Ford class carrier.
A few shipyards can build/refuel nuclear submarines, but only NNS can build/refuel an aircraft carrier because of the deep channel access afforded by the James River.
There certainly will be many of jobs lost to AI. There is one thing folks forget about with that sort of thing. All of these AI operated work places will need crews of temporary -(may be years) of construction workers to build and put all of these feared AI manufacturing facilities in place. Once up and operational, there will still be need for trained operations personnel as well as a highly trained mechanical and electrical work force to keep these places up and running. So , maybe not the higher numbers of lower skilled operations jobs , but different types of trained workers will be needed always. Just another transition in the work force that happens all the time. Of course it is scary to think about as it is just another unknown... I would have a level of fear of the future myself if I was still young and in that type of workplace.
Yep, we run heavy duty automated kit daily - the ET’s are busier than the mechanics - most of the remote support we get are licensed software updates from OEM’s …Yep.
Maintenance type career fields will never go away.
I don’t care how awesome artificial intelligence gets in 10, 25, 50 years from now.
If you pay me enough I would move my whole family to the middle of a mountain to do your job.You need alot of support to make a leap and move close enough to shipyard to work there.
2 Major problems:
1-most people don't live near a shipyard
2-most people don't want to/don't see moving as a viable option.
Are the areas near a shipyard somewhere you want to live?
I'm not a tradesperson, but I looked at some of the job postings a few years ago when I saw the "build submarines" sponsored Nascar team. It just wasn't compelling for my vocation. Move, get paid the same, less other options if it doesn't workout.
Would it be awesome to work in that industry, yes! Is it a smart move for me no.
Finally, I scold all of us oldster's when our chest pounding stories start up ........." back in my day, we walked ten miles to work, uphill both ways through five foot drifts of snow". Today's young people have different challenges, one being the evil influence that cell phones and social media have on their lives.
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Back in my days my dad and I have to haul propane tanks (for cooking) up 10/F of stairs to our apartment with no elevators. We tell the youngsters, "go get an education so you can do better work and not have to live like we do".
You’re missing the point by a mile.That's what both my parents said, fleeing their 3rd world country turning communist. They lived a partial nomadic/hunter-gatherer lifestyle where they would have to walk a far distance to get water. Education was unavailable unless you were lucky enough to pay to send a kid to boarding school. So I never understood the whole "real man's" job; Americans have freedom of jobs and freedom of choosing their own specializations, not my problem they decided to chose their job so they can brag about while their bodies are broken.
You’re missing the point by a mile.
The point here is that not everything can be a service or a desk type job and not everyone can get an education that will make them a good living.
Yet here we are, telling our kids to get useless degrees that will never get them a good paying job, while very well paying trade jobs are being frowned upon.
And honestly, our society is being feminized and part of the problem is that men don’t really do any hands on type jobs. That’s how our brain is wired up. So the “real man’s job” claim has some merit to it IMO.
I agree with most of what you have said, except for the schooling system.I understand that. I'm not talking down or disparaging blue collar and trade jobs at all. My point is I'm not going around glamouring my job or trying to prove my job is more manly than any other job. They had their choice of careers, they made their bed now they get to sleep in it. If anybody wants to tell me to go find a real man's job, I just tell them to go join the infantry before talking to me.
I don't think it's so much how our brain is wired by nature, but what we're exposed to when growing up - especially the first 18 years when we go through schooling and try to figure out what to do after high school. Too many schools have removed technical classes because it doesn't help their bottom line and ranking system. Schools in poorer districts can't afford the additional cost of technical classes so those kids don't know what options they have in life; and schools in wealthy districts don't care about these classes because their silver-spoon fed students and family think it's underneath them to turn a wrench.
I for one would love seeing more of these jobs come back to rebuild the middle class. Careers where people who can't or don't want to go to college can learn and grow with and can live and raise a family comfortably...but the massive move of industries moving overseas in the 70s-90s decimated that. They just don't exist close to the amount they used to anymore. Sure we can bring jobs like these back, but not immediately considering we'd have a massive lack of both new and experienced workers - similar to the US trying to get semiconductor manufacturing back but we have now gone 3-4 generations without so we're back starting at square 1 as a first world country with stringent environmental rules.
I agree with most of what you have said, except for the schooling system.
Every masculine type behavior is being squashed and eradicated on purpose, not because of budgets.
Example, I confronted the school principal recently because my son got in trouble for “rough” play. They showed me the video of him and his friends playing around and bumping into each other lightly. I could clearly see the joy on their faces while playing with each other. Absolutely normal play, but they got in trouble for it. Her defense, it’s against the rules.
I told my son that he didn’t do anything wrong and that he will not get in trouble with me. I assured him that it’s normal to play this way and that they should hide from the cameras next time. He liked the idea.