Originally Posted By: oilyriser
The computer industry has faced deflation ever since it's beginning, and it's not on the brink of collapse.
Deflation does not directly cause specific industries to collapse. You need two ingredients:
1. Debtor nation
2. Deflation across many goods and products.
I think its safe to say, we satisfy both (1) and (2) given recent CPI numbers. And I don't think I need to comment on the debt part.
The reason why deflation hammers a debtor nation is beause the real value of debts increase. It is analogous to jacking up the interest rate by the rate of deflation. That means people's debt burdens increase in real terms. This will cause a lot of people to default on debts. Then you have massive bank failures and financial system collapse. In America in 2008, we already have a financial sector on the brink of collapse. Add deflation and it could be mayhem. Bank runs, bank holidays, companies go under because they can't get operating credit. Massive layoffs and unemployment.
But I agree, if we were a saver nation, deflation in select industries would not be bad. But right now, we are not in that fairy tale land.