Originally Posted By: billt460
One race he puts on a show that could almost make Senna or Schumacher look amateurish. The next he does something stupid and takes himself out.
This, exactly. His only hope is a season where many guys are close on the points, a season like 1982 where Keke Rosberg only had one win and still became champion. That's not realistic in the current climate, though.
Riccardio is Red Bull's best chance. Now, I don't buy into all the hype that was made about how he beat Vettel when they were together, given that it was one season with one car that didn't suit a demotivated Vettel. On the other hand, what should be noted is that Riccardio makes the most of the car and every opportunity, no matter how low the power or the odds are. And, if anyone had a reason to be demotivated, it would be Daniel.
As for Verstappen's fate if he were to get dumped, he had better ensure he gets himself some sponsorship. As you point out, Ferrari and Merc would never take him. He's the poster child for why Ferrari insists on mature drivers. His hopes would rely on sponsorship or perhaps Renault, or maybe McLaren or Williams wanting name recognition, but that's a stretch.
As it is, he's going to have to modify his behaviour and quit buying the media and handler hype he's been getting. Now that the media seems to have turned on him, he might finally have some incentive.
It's amazing what media tweaking in F1 can accomplish, to say the least.