To be correct I wrote in our August 03 discussion on Mobil1 OW-40 HT/HS:
"... Making approval for use of this or that oil in their cars manufactures expect that this oil will keep HT/HS > 3.50 during all prescribed oil interval. ...
Bosch injector test is used 1. for "stay in grade" qualification, 2. as reference point for oil comparison within the same method. Tests define % loss of kinematic viscosity at 100 deg C, but not loss of HT/HS viscosity measured at 150 C ..."
Moribundman asked very important question. That's why I have tried to clarify this issue at our certification lab and got the following answer:
1. Naturally HT/HS will decrease if the oil thins out. But HT/HS change is not always being direct. Nature of base stock will have an impact on actual HT/HS in given conditions.
2. Oil approved for a long drain interval should ensure engine protection through the whole interval under the normal conditions. OEM tests suppose the engine is fully OK, i.e. does not have a noticable wear and its fuel system work as per OEM specs, i.e. these tests are run on new cars or like new. It's expected that under normal conditions the oil in such engine will not suffer some considerable loss of kinematic viscosity. A temporary viscosity loss may occure at certain conditions, but given it happens during a short period of time this usually does not cause the engine failure, though it does not promote a long engine life too.
3. "Stop and go" cycle, sustained high speed driving etc. don't fall under "normal" conditions where OEMs' recommendations of shorter intervals. Oil thinning may bring HT/HS lower then 3.50. But again, it may lead to a higher engine wear, but it will not be mortal. Firstly, it's expected that if the owner follows prescribed intervals for severe conditions, a thinned oil could be in the crankcase for a short period only. Secondly, an additive chemistry will protect your engine too.
3. OEM recommendations for oil quality, viscosity and drain interval take into consideration all possible conditions. So, recommending an oil OEM leaves a safety margin, but it have to be clear that here the main and only target is to allow its engine to survive, especially if the car is still under the warranty.
4. VW 502.00 does not specify an additional requirement to ACEA test in respect of viscosity loss (Bosch injector). In the part of viscosity control the test PV1449 stipulates two parameters: initial viscosity at 40 C and its relative increase caused by oxidation.
Everybody may make his own conclusion. I understand that Audi/VW had probably some strong reasons to stipulate 5W-30, 5W-40, 10W-30 and 10W-40 for + 15 C only in their 501.01 and 505.00 norms. So, irrespective whether or not their original 5W-40 oil is a real synthetic, for safety reasons it probably would have sense to go one grade up or to shorten drain intervals.