What we need is for the American Petroleum companies to embrace euro-spec sulfur levels (or even lower) in their diesel fuels NOW. The price will be higher, but that is unfortunately inevitable, regardless of what route we take. Its the intelligence of choice and the dependencies we form from the ultimate choices made that make the difference.
The short term result is that with that fuel and a little bit of intelligence on the part of the EPA regarding the fact that particle traps, filters, etc and a wide variety of catalysts can be used in ultra low sulfur diesel running autos (so we will have more of them here), you have just got yourself extremely efficient diesel automobiles, capable of getting 50+ MPG for small sedans, and even 25-30 for SUVs without the particulate emissions that the EPA hates so much, and thinks are so much worse than the quadruple amount of CO2 gross tonnage that the average SUV spews out.
The short/moderate term result is that with ultra low sulfur diesel, you allow yourself to have an inroad to a huge variety of much more efficient processes. You can begin to reform these fuels into hydrogen, without having to carry a refinery with you, and run PEM fuel cells. You can reform it less, send it into a high temperature solid oxide fuel cell, and achieve over 60% efficiency (upto ~80%), compared to ~30-35% in a diesel.
Long term, with the reality that fuel cell applications are viable, then push can go to the efficient production of synthetic fuels, methane hydrates from the sea, clean coal with CO2 sequestration, etc. Most are projects that the DOE and other agencies have pursued to an extent. However funding is much higher in the fuel cell stack and fuel cell reformer areas. Why? Because we need to deal with sulfur in most raw fuels. There are a lot of problems with sulfur in reforming for PEM fuel cells, as any trace of sulfur will kill the catalyst on the membranes. There is also a lot of trouble with solid oxide fuel cell materials, because the high temperature and sulfur contentcause performance degradation. Some technologies could allow for direct oxidation of fuels to make power, but still sulfur will be a problem.
Use the economies of scale at refineries to clean up the fuels, and create a stepping stone on the way to no need for foreign fuels, running fuel cells on whatever comes to be in the future, with minimal need for foreign energy (although for the forseeable future some foreign oil will be necessary, and probably we will get more and more russian methane).
Thats how I see it... Unfortunately, most people think they need their big V8 powered SUV to feel rich, powerful, safe, and think that that is the only way to have 'pick-up' for merging onto highways, etc. Forget driver skill, gradually accelerating, less aggressive driving patterns, etc. Its all about being the king of the road. Too bad these kings are too dumb to see the big picture
And too bad that the people who often claim to be the most patriotic are also the ones that put the most money into the pockets of those who hate us the most, thanks to their patriotic gas guzzlers.
But diesel fuel with low low sulfur content is the easiest answer and the most logical stepping stone to allow power-dense, energy dense, highly efficient power systems to be used all over the place with a safe widely available fuel. Methane and methanol are other good options, but there is much more to consider with them, plus the russians have the grip on most of the worlds methane...
JMH
[ October 21, 2004, 11:53 PM: Message edited by: JHZR2 ]