1911, you bring up some good valid points from your engineering background. And most scientists and engineers not specifically adept or experienced in automotive oil analysis experience the screaming feeling that this is bullhocky.
I agree with this comment; "vast majority of members on this board are grossly misusing and over-interpreting the data they get from basic UOA's." If they haven't a accurate interpretation this comment is absolutely correct.
Your progressive and predictable theory is wonderful and on a test stand in a controlled environment would work, mostly.
Lubricants are very good at controlling wear rates from these smaller particles mentioned here, ( I have not read Fitches comments, yet).
This protective Micelle or micel affect can disrupt the predictive and measureable method your math desires. Add environmental affects, variable RPM, and many other aspects and the variables become nearly uncontrollable with low cost technology to measure.
If a data base or experienced analyst has access to data from more scientific capabilities of testing lubes and engines and compares/correlates that to the BASIC UOA we see here then he or she may have a good basis at tracking and making predictions.
That person would be recluctant to give that kind of knowledge away.
More later, have to head to Church.
TD
I agree with this comment; "vast majority of members on this board are grossly misusing and over-interpreting the data they get from basic UOA's." If they haven't a accurate interpretation this comment is absolutely correct.
Your progressive and predictable theory is wonderful and on a test stand in a controlled environment would work, mostly.
Lubricants are very good at controlling wear rates from these smaller particles mentioned here, ( I have not read Fitches comments, yet).
This protective Micelle or micel affect can disrupt the predictive and measureable method your math desires. Add environmental affects, variable RPM, and many other aspects and the variables become nearly uncontrollable with low cost technology to measure.
If a data base or experienced analyst has access to data from more scientific capabilities of testing lubes and engines and compares/correlates that to the BASIC UOA we see here then he or she may have a good basis at tracking and making predictions.
That person would be recluctant to give that kind of knowledge away.
More later, have to head to Church.
TD