new lows as the U.S. attacks its currency

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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=azuNjokrEk88&refer=home
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U.S. policy makers are flooding the world with an extra $8.5 trillion through 23 different plans designed to bail out the financial system and pump up the economy. The decline shows that the increased supply of money may be overwhelming investors just as the government steps up debt sales, the trade and budget deficits grow and de-leveraging by investors slows.

The dollar will go to new lows as the U.S. attacks its currency,” said John Taylor, chairman of New York-based FX Concepts Inc., which manages about $14.5 billion of currencies.

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“The government and the Fed cannot continue to talk about trillions of dollars of financing and expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet without the dollar going south,” Gross said in a Dec. 10 interview with Bloomberg Television

Budget Deficit

Spending to shore up the financial system caused the U.S. government’s budget deficit for the first two months of fiscal 2009 that started in October to balloon to $401.6 billion, the Treasury Department said Dec. 10.

It’s absolutely going to get worse before it gets better,” said Michael Englund, chief economist at Action Economics LLC in Boulder, Colorado. “We’re looking at a $1 trillion deficit, and that’s before the next stimulus package. If Treasury spends all of TARP, it could be $1.2 trillion to $1.3 trillion.

The $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program is one of the programs set up by the government and the Fed to try to bring the economy out of the worst recession since World War II. President-elect Barack Obama also plans a stimulus package that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said may total $500 billion to $600 billion.

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“We’re seeing that correlation between equities and the dollar break down,” said Adam Boyton, a senior currency strategist in New York at Deutsche Bank AG, the world’s biggest currency trader, according to a 2008 Euromoney Institutional Investor Plc survey. “The fact that the dollar is weakening in this environment probably tells you a bit more focus is coming back on the fundamentals of the U.S. economy.”

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It's a new revelation beacause 8.5 Trillion is almost doubling our national debt from exactly a year ago (not national defecit- national debt)... now those dollar figures might not be realistic but Keynsian Economics will finally be shown for what it's worth- nothing.
 
Whether the dollar continues to decline over the long term or not will depend on a wildcard - the state of the European economy. If Europe goes into a deep recession, then people will flock back to the dollar due to risk aversion. Currency valuations are never based on absolute fundamentals. They are always based on relative fundamentals. Europe is far more exposed to emerging market debt and are behind the curve in cutting rates and printing money. If Europe tanks, their central banks will be cutting rates and pumping money in the future which could strengthen the dollar relative to the Euro. In that case, we could get a dollar bull.

So it can go either way folks.
 
To be able to understand economic basics I suggest Adam Smith and Ayn Rand---not boring at all. It will put you way ahead of most of your contemporaries. Best regards. john--Las Vegas.
 
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Keynsian Economics will finally be shown for what it's worth- nothing.


Better stuff more pockets higher up in the economy AND QUICK! Do it before it's too late. You can always stop trickling down and save them.
 
Originally Posted By: Drew99GT
http://money.cnn.com/data/currencies/

The dollar took a major dump instantly after the fed lowered the fed funds target to 0 to .25%
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Yep, this entire thing was caused by too low of interest rates and the government inflating housing values via housing give away programs.

So it's very obvious that we need to get out of this mess are EVEN LOWER interest rates and EVEN MORE give away housing programs:
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JEFFREY BROWN: The $800 billion from the Fed is aimed at jump-starting mortgage lending amid the continuing housing correction and consumer spending, which declined precipitously over the summer.

The Fed will act in two ways. It will buy up to $600 billion in debt and mortgage-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and other government-sponsored finance agencies. This is aimed at helping the housing market.

And it will loan up to $200 billion to holders of securities backed by debt from credit card, auto and student loans. The intention is to make new lending possible.

The Treasury will provide some protection for the consumer debt initiative by pledging $20 billion in funds from the so-called TARP program.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson described the thinking behind the moves this morning.

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They crazies are at the helm!
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That’s zero interest rate policy. And it has arrived. America has turned Japanese.

This is the thing I’ve been afraid of ever since I realized that Japan really was in the dreaded, possibly mythical liquidity trap. You can read my 1998 Brookings Paper on the issue here.

Incidentally, there were a bunch of us at Princeton worrying about the Japan problem in the early years of this decade. I was one; Lars Svensson, currently at Sweden’s Riksbank, was another; a third was a guy named Ben Bernanke. I wonder whatever happened to him?

Seriously, we are in very deep trouble. Getting out of this will require a lot of creativity, and maybe some luck too.
 
Sorry..yeah Krugman.

Put 7 economists in a room and you'll get 8 opinions. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out.

Ron Paul is the only congressman that represents the Austrian economic philosophy. Other wise, things will remain the same. Both parties currently are too much alike.

We should be raising interest rates right now and cutting payroll taxes IMO.

"The Case for a Payroll Tax Cut"
http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/
 
Quote:
Further adding to the troubles in the world’s former financial Mecca, the US Congress, acting on largely ideological grounds, shocked the financial system when it refused to give even a meager $14 billion emergency loan to the Big Three automakers — General Motors, Chrysler and Ford.

While it is likely that the Treasury will extend emergency credit to the companies until January 20 or until the newly elected Congress can consider a new plan, the prospect of a chain-reaction bankruptcy collapse of the three giant companies is very near. What is being left out of the debate is that those three companies account for a combined 25 percent of all US corporate bonds outstanding. They are held by private pension funds, mutual funds, banks and others. If the auto parts suppliers of the Big Three are included, an estimated $1 trillion of corporate bonds are now at risk of chain-reaction default. Such a bankruptcy failure could trigger a financial catastrophe which would make what has happened since Lehman Bros. appear as a mere hiccup in a hurricane. - Peter Schiff
 
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