OVERKILL
$100 Site Donor 2021
This graphic (shared courtesy of Energy Analyst Scott Luft) is from Ontario's IESO and shows the projected incremental increase in demand, with the most pronounced coming from electrifying transport:
That's an incremental increase from 2032 to 2040 going up to ~22TW, ~19TWh of which is from the transportation sector in 2040. You can see that the average projected increase, annually, from all other sectors averages around 5TWh. Ontario currently uses ~138TWh/year, so that works out to ~100TWh of demand increase from other sources alone by 2040; demand increasing to ~240TWh before we include transport.
We currently have absolutely no new capacity, other than a 300MW SMR coming online so far within that time period. And in fact, currently, we are slated to lose 3,100MW in 2025 if Pickering is prematurely retired. We are NOT ready.
That's an incremental increase from 2032 to 2040 going up to ~22TW, ~19TWh of which is from the transportation sector in 2040. You can see that the average projected increase, annually, from all other sectors averages around 5TWh. Ontario currently uses ~138TWh/year, so that works out to ~100TWh of demand increase from other sources alone by 2040; demand increasing to ~240TWh before we include transport.
We currently have absolutely no new capacity, other than a 300MW SMR coming online so far within that time period. And in fact, currently, we are slated to lose 3,100MW in 2025 if Pickering is prematurely retired. We are NOT ready.