From the time I started following threads on BITOG years ago, before even becoming a member here, I always thought UOA's were supposed to be used as a very basic tool: To identify current engine problems, or problems that are starting to form, and to give us a general ballpark idea of when we should change our oil.
When using TBN/TAN and wear metals to determine how long an oil can be pushed in a given application, how conclusive is that data, really?
If we push an oil to its absolute limits every OCI going by the data, and the numbers look good after a series of UOA's, do we have enough conclusive evidence that 200,000+ miles of doing this won't have any negative effects on the engine?
In other words, are there long term effects that won't show up immediately after a few UOA's?
Theoretical example:
- Two neighbors have the same exact vehicle
- They work in the same business park, same commute every day
- Same driving habits
- Use the same oil
- AND, for the sake of this example:
*** Engine components and all accessories for these 2 engines were manufactured to absolutely identical specs down to quantum measurements (internal engine clearances/tolerances, pistons/rings, oil pump, water pump, radiator, valvetrain pieces, etc).
*** Also, all variables remain "like new" for both engines, such as PCV condition, cooling system condition, etc.
At 50,000 miles, both drivers decide to start doing UOA's and changing their oil based on TBN/TAN and wear numbers.
Driver A decides to change his oil when his UOA's say TBN and TAN are both at 1.5 (just an example)
Driver B decides to change his oil when his UOA's say TBN is at 1.0 and TAN is at 1.9 (again, this is just an example)
After a few UOA's, both engines appear to be in great shape, going by the wear numbers. Driver B, who does longer OCI's (1.0 TBN / 1.9 TAN), has wear numbers that are trending appropriately with mileage.
Both drivers intend to keep their vehicles for over 200,000 miles.
So......
Going by the data from a few UOA's, and assuming both drivers continue with their elected oil changing routines, can we conclude that both engines will be in the same shape after more than 200,000 miles?
When using TBN/TAN and wear metals to determine how long an oil can be pushed in a given application, how conclusive is that data, really?
If we push an oil to its absolute limits every OCI going by the data, and the numbers look good after a series of UOA's, do we have enough conclusive evidence that 200,000+ miles of doing this won't have any negative effects on the engine?
In other words, are there long term effects that won't show up immediately after a few UOA's?
Theoretical example:
- Two neighbors have the same exact vehicle
- They work in the same business park, same commute every day
- Same driving habits
- Use the same oil
- AND, for the sake of this example:
*** Engine components and all accessories for these 2 engines were manufactured to absolutely identical specs down to quantum measurements (internal engine clearances/tolerances, pistons/rings, oil pump, water pump, radiator, valvetrain pieces, etc).
*** Also, all variables remain "like new" for both engines, such as PCV condition, cooling system condition, etc.
At 50,000 miles, both drivers decide to start doing UOA's and changing their oil based on TBN/TAN and wear numbers.
Driver A decides to change his oil when his UOA's say TBN and TAN are both at 1.5 (just an example)
Driver B decides to change his oil when his UOA's say TBN is at 1.0 and TAN is at 1.9 (again, this is just an example)
After a few UOA's, both engines appear to be in great shape, going by the wear numbers. Driver B, who does longer OCI's (1.0 TBN / 1.9 TAN), has wear numbers that are trending appropriately with mileage.
Both drivers intend to keep their vehicles for over 200,000 miles.
So......
Going by the data from a few UOA's, and assuming both drivers continue with their elected oil changing routines, can we conclude that both engines will be in the same shape after more than 200,000 miles?