edyvw
$50 site donor 2025
Push for EV will depend on politics!!! That is it. Just because there might be a strong push now, doesn’t mean if policymakers overreach, there won’t be a correction.In fact, over time the answer will be soundly, "yes" we will not have a choice. I don't give away inside information on this forum due to my job and position. But you should know that the push for electrification is not simply "strong incentives". Things are happening that require engine manufacturing to be shut down. And there will be a strong legal push to hold petroleum manufacturers liable for GW. Again, in a decade, we will not have any viable choices other than EV.
It's also good to know that there are tasks EV's will never be able to do. Transport aircraft is example number 1. For that, hydrogen or sustainable aviation fuels will be necessary. Battery energy density can not and will never match what fuels can do. Lithium is the most active metal for batteries and it has just so many ions to move. We can improve by making certain battery components smaller, (and/or eliminating them) but there won't be miracles in energy density.
Think back to fuel energy density. People used to believe that some fuel would be developed that contained twice the energy as diesel fuel. Engineers knew better, but the general public still thought some super-fuel would come about. So it is with batteries. The fuels we have today are well refined and capable. They are not more energy dense than during WW-1 or WW-II. Batteries are no different.
Ultimately, serious push will happen when EV’s reach practically of ICE. But, at that point simple economics are going to win.
Only one thing is constant in life, a change.