I think the results I'm getting in my oil study are pretty consistent.
As for consistency from one lab to the next, I don't have any data on that yet. It's a test I'd like to conduct but so far I haven't gotten any volunteers for it. Maybe someday.
While it's easy to use the details of an analysis as a basis for freaking out and changing the oil early, it's also just as possible to use an analysis as part of a big-picture assessment. After all, once a TBN is wiped out, or the insolubles exceed reasonable tolerances, the oil is done for no matter what you choose to make of the details. Although it's good to know that the manufacturer has faith in their engine's design to hold out for 7,500 miles, it doesn't cost that much to have the oil analyzed just once to make sure they're right, *for your driving conditions*.
Then you don't have to talk about theory and what "should" happen -- you'll know for sure.
Cheers, 3MP